California’s top-two primary for governor is coming down to the final turn.
In the last few polls before Election Day, Democrat Xavier Becerra has kept a steady — but small — lead. One survey showed Becerra leading with 25% support among likely voters, followed closely by Republican Steve Hilton with 21%. Another poll published last Saturday also had Becerra ahead, but with Democrat Tom Steyer in second position instead.
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Polls ask likely voters who they think they will vote for. But what if instead you ask voters who they think will win the race? Two different questions, two different kinds of information.
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